Access control over the mechanical lock market before 2017

The growing popularity of electronic access control systems is driving the market for electric shock locks and electromagnetic locks, each of which is expected to surpass the mechanical lock market by 2017. IHS estimates that from 2012 to 2017, the global revenue of electromagnetic locks and anti-theft locks will increase at a compound annual growth rate of 6.9% and 7.8% (annual CAGR), respectively. In contrast, the mechanical lock will experience a weak CAGR of 4.5% at the same time. The rapid development of electronic access control will surpass the market share of mechanical locks and become the mainstream of access control.

Access control market broke 5.2 billion scale

According to the performance of domestic mainstream access control manufacturers in 2011, the average operating income of various manufacturers increased by more than 45% to 50%. At the same time, the proportion of second-line branded second-line access control brands for domestic access has increased rapidly, and the sales scale of some second-tier branded companies has exceeded historical sales. With the continuous expansion of government investment in large-scale infrastructure projects and the rapid development of the industry market, the forecast for the market size of domestic access control system products in 2012 reached 5.8 billion yuan, an annual increase of approximately 35%. In addition, the 2012 access control card and related The scale of the supporting engineering industry chain has further created a new historical high.

Since the “M1 cracking incident”, the domestic access control market has gradually developed into a rational development. Pure price competition is no longer subject to the attention of manufacturers, and individualized solutions and products have been transformed from quantity to quality. Due to the economic development in the domestic market, there is a clear trend in the demand for industrialization of security products. Individualized professional solutions have become a bright spot for manufacturers to compete.

Judging from the market demand, the huge market of 675 judicial prisons, 3200 detention centers, and 350 hospitals across the country has become the focus of first-line brands; rail transit, petrochemical and other industries have strong demand for access control cards; campus security During the peak period of construction, mobile, telecommunications, and Unicom’s investment in the mobile access control card market will be promoted; with the increasing popularity of campus cards, corporate cards, and citizen cards, the demand for access control will maintain an average growth rate of around 30% to 35% per year. .

According to the current report on the performance of 11 domestic listed security companies, plus the impact of domestic residential property purchase policies in the past three years, investment-oriented business intelligence buildings will continue to be hot spots. On the other hand, the growth in market demand for factories, mines and banks under the impetus of the security monitoring and high-definition market has increased. At the same time, it has promoted the access control industry to become the “three pillars” of security systems that stand in line with anti-theft alarm systems and video surveillance systems.

Electronic access before 2017 or beyond the mechanical lock market

Access control systems are becoming more and more popular because they provide time management and building automation system integration while providing a higher level of security. The main obstacle to the growth of electronic access control is higher up-front costs, and long-term benefits are due to the reduction and re-budgeting costs associated with mechanical cylinders. Although the trend of access control solutions is pushing the popularity of electric locks, they will not completely replace mechanical locks. IHS expects that most applications will still require a mechanical lock to cover in the event of a power failure or system failure. Such access control is the only limit to the growth of the mechanical solution in the medium term and does not necessarily replace it.

In the popularization of electric locks, electromagnetic locks and electric shock locks are the most commonly used electric lock devices in access control systems. Electromagnetic locks have traditionally been the standard solution, but the most advanced markets in the United States and Western Europe have begun using the most advanced shock locks. Electric shock locks are safer, more beautiful, more pleasing to the eye and more energy-efficient than electromagnetic locks. It is expected that there will be strong growth in regions outside Asia from 2012 to 2017. This is due to the fact that the Chinese market's preference for electromagnetic locks exceeds the use of electric shock locks. Electromagnetic locks are easier to manufacture, more affordable, and easier to install, making them more competitive in the Chinese market.

The trend of solutions for electric locks not only affects mechanical locks. Globally, according to IHS, the estimated standard machinery and equipment exports in 2012 accounted for 70.8% of all export equipment revenue, and it is expected to decline to 69.8% by 2017 due to the increasing use of electrified decorations and electric lock retraction. Device. According to Jiuzheng Building Materials Network, the realization of the electric lock device as a safe means of solution is usually performed in order to implement a complete electric access device installed on the access control system for export.

Effect of mechanical lock on access control system

The market for access control management systems has grown rapidly, which is higher than the average level of the security market, mainly due to the fact that access control systems are more easily integrated with time and attendance systems and building automation systems. The major obstacle to the growth of electronic access control systems is higher prepaid costs, and the long-term benefits are lower key lock replacement costs for mechanical locks.

The electronic lock market grew with the development of access control solutions, but it did not completely replace the status of mechanical locks. IHS predicts that most applications still require mechanical locks. For example, in the event of a system error or failure to start, the access control system will only have a certain impact on the market of mechanical lock solutions for a long period of time.

Electromagnetic locks and electric locks are the most common electronic locks and are integrated with access control systems. Electromagnetic locks have traditionally become the standard solution adopted, but in mature markets such as the United States and Western Europe tend to start using electric locks. Electric locks are considered to be safer, more beautiful, and energy-saving. It is expected that in 2012-2017, higher growth will be achieved in regions other than Asia. People in China prefer to use electromagnetic locks more than electric locks. Electromagnetic locks are easier to manufacture, cheaper, and easier to install, which makes it more attractive in markets that are more cost-effective.

From the perspective of providing a complete solution, the electric lock not only affects the mechanical lock market, but also the entrance and exit equipment market. IHS estimates that in 2012, the global market for machinery import and export equipment accounted for 70.8% of the total import and export equipment market. This is the reason why this figure is expected to drop to 69.8% in 2017. Despite the active market for electronic lock solutions, the global mid-term will still be mainly mechanical. IHS estimates that the final 77% of the global import and export equipment market in 2012 will be a mechanical lock, and by 2017, the mechanical lock will drop to 71%.

In general, the electric lock solution is actively moving toward the international level. Due to this trend, the growth of mechanical locks is somewhat limited, but the global mechanical lock market is expected to continue to grow in the medium term. In terms of income, IHS estimates that machinery accounted for approximately 77% of the market share in 2012 compared with the export market of mechanical locks and electric locks (electric shock locks and electromagnetics). However, by 2017, the market's mechanical lock solution will be reduced to 71%.